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September 30, 2025

Live Updates: Trump Administration Tariffs, Trade Policy Changes, and Impacts on Global Supply Chains

Flexport Editorial Team

Flexport Editorial Team

Flexport Editorial Team
Flexport Editorial Team

September 30, 2025

This live blog contains all updates from May 9, 2025 onwards. Find earlier updates from March and April (including Liberation Day) here, and all older updates (including our original blog on the 2024 election) here.

Calculate and analyze tariff impacts in real time with the Flexport Tariff Simulator.

Updated September 30, 2025:

Last night, President Trump issued an executive order that will implement tariffs on lumber, upholstered furniture, kitchen cabinets, and bathroom vanities. These duties will take effect on October 14, not October 1. Duty rates stipulated in the order include:

  • Softwood timber and lumber: 10%
  • Certain upholstered furniture: 25%, except the EU and Japan (15% cap) and the U.K. (10% cap)
    • Applicable HTS codes: 9401.61.4011, 9401.61.4031, 9401.61.6011, and 9401.61.6031
  • Certain kitchen cabinets and bathroom vanities: 25%, except the EU and Japan (15% cap) and the U.K. (10% cap)
    • Applicable HTS codes: 9403.40.9060, 9403.60.8093, and 9403.91.0080

Note that these rates differ from those mentioned in President Trump’s Truth Social posts yesterday. However, per the order, the rates President Trump indicated on Truth Social (30% on upholstered furniture and 50% on kitchen cabinets and vanities) will take effect on January 1, 2026, and will apply to any country that does not have a trade agreement in place with the U.S.

Additionally:

  • These tariffs will be eligible for duty drawback, unlike other Section 232 tariffs.
  • Tariff stacking: Goods subject to these tariffs will be exempt from IEEPA reciprocal tariffs, the 40% IEEPA tariff on Brazil, and the 25% IEEPA “oil” tariff on India. This is similar to other Section 232 tariffs.
    • Depending on the shipment’s country of origin and date of entry for consumption, this may result in an effective duty savings between October 14 and December 31.
  • Chapter 44 HTS codes will be removed from the IEEPA reciprocal exemption list (Annex II) for all goods entered or withdrawn for consumption on or after October 14.

Finally, the order suggests the possibility of upcoming duties on hardwood timber and lumber, pending an investigation that will conclude by October 1, 2026.

Calculate these duty and landed cost impacts in real time with the Flexport Tariff Simulator.

Updated September 29, 2025:

This morning, President Trump indicated on Truth Social that he intends to impose “substantial tariffs on any country that does not make its furniture in the United States,” citing the loss of North Carolina’s furniture business to China and other nations. It is unclear exactly which furniture imports would be impacted, or when these potential new tariffs would take effect.

President Trump had previously announced a 30% tariff on upholstered furniture beginning October 1, pending confirmation via executive order or Federal Register notice. Additionally, President Trump has yet to confirm specifics on tariff stacking for all potential new duties on October 1, including those applicable to upholstered furniture, heavy trucks, pharmaceuticals, kitchen cabinets, and bathroom vanities.

In a separate Truth Social post this morning, President Trump also announced plans to levy a 100% tariff on “any and all movies that are made outside of the United States.” How and when this tariff would be imposed remains unclear.

Updated September 26, 2025:

The Trump administration announced plans for sweeping new tariffs going into effect on October 1, 2025, targeting a wide range of imported goods, including heavy trucks, upholstered furniture, home fixtures and cabinetry, and pharmaceuticals. No executive order has been issued, and no notice has been published in the Federal Register at this time.

Should these tariffs take effect, heavy trucks will face a 25% tariff, kitchen cabinets and bathroom vanities 50%, upholstered furniture 30%, and branded or patented pharmaceuticals up to 100%. The pharmaceutical tariff would not apply for companies that are “building U.S. manufacturing plants,” defined as “breaking ground” or “under construction." The move is being framed as a national security measure under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act, positioning the tariffs as a way to protect domestic manufacturing and reduce reliance on foreign supply chains.

Overall, the tariff hikes could place immediate financial and operational pressure on importers while creating long-term incentives for shifting production to the U.S. or diversifying suppliers.

Updated September 16, 2025:

Effective September 16, 2025 (retroactive to August 7), the U.S. is rolling out new tariff rules to the U.S.–Japan Agreement. The latest includes a 15% baseline tariff on most Japanese imports. If the existing duty on affected goods is below 15%, an additional duty will be applied to bring it up to that threshold; if the rate is already 15% or higher, no extra duty applies. Some categories, like generic pharmaceuticals, certain natural resources, and civil aircraft, are exempt. Raw materials already affected by Section 232 duties, like steel, aluminum, and copper, are unaffected.

Automobiles and auto parts also shift into this framework: instead of being subject to 25% duties under Section 232, they now follow the 15% baseline rule. This is also effective as of September 16.

U.S. importers should immediately review shipments from Japan since August 7 to identify refund opportunities and assess cost impacts under the 15% baseline structure. For sectors like car manufacturers and pharmaceuticals, the carve-outs could ease pressure compared to broader tariff hikes, but origin rules and classification will be critical. Strategically, the deal ties tariff relief to economic commitments from Japan, primarily via large purchases of U.S. agricultural goods and energy and over $500 billion in investments in the U.S. This means future tariff stability depends on Japan delivering its commitments, creating both new opportunities and compliance risks for companies operating in U.S.–Japan trade flows.

Updated September 9, 2025:

The Supreme Court has agreed to hear arguments on the legality of President Trump’s IEEPA tariffs, with oral arguments scheduled to take place in early November. IEEPA tariffs will remain in place for the time being.

Today’s announcement comes less than a week after President Trump petitioned the Supreme Court for an expedited ruling on a federal appeals court decision that found his IEEPA duties illegal.

If the Supreme Court upholds the federal appeals court’s ruling, many businesses would potentially qualify for refunds.

Updated September 8, 2025:

Effective today (September 8), President Trump has modified the scope of Annex II, a list of products exempt from IEEPA reciprocal tariffs. The executive order impacts pharmaceuticals, semiconductors, energy products, and other goods. Per the order:

  • 52 new HTS codes have been added to Annex II.
  • 131 HTS codes have been removed from Annex II.
  • Nearly all copper products have been removed from Annex II, presumably because they are now tariffed under Section 232.

Additionally, Annex III to the executive order contains 1,908 HTS subheadings that potentially qualify for a reciprocal tariff exemption, provided that the country of origin has finalized an agreement on reciprocal trade with the United States.

Analyze these tariff and landed cost impacts in real time with the Flexport Tariff Simulator.

Updated September 5, 2025:

Yesterday, President Trump published an executive order that will implement a trade deal between the U.S. and Japan. The order outlines the following:

  • The U.S. will impose a baseline tariff of 15% on most Japanese imports.
    • Goods with a Most Favored Nation (MFN) tariff of less than 15% will be subject to a duty of 15%.
    • Goods with an MFN tariff that exceeds 15% will only be subject to that MFN tariff rate.
  • The U.S. will also impose separate sector-specific duties on Japanese autos and auto parts, aerospace products, generic pharmaceuticals, and natural resources that are not available or not produced in the United States. Goods subject to any of these sector-specific duties are exempt from reciprocal duties.
    • Duties on autos and auto parts will be reduced from 25% to 15%.
  • Japan will invest $550 billion in the United States and ramp up purchases of American agricultural goods.
  • Japan will expand market access for American manufacturers across key sectors, including aerospace, agriculture, and energy.

The modified tariff structure will take effect within seven days of the order’s publication in the Federal Register, and will apply retroactively to Japanese goods that are “entered for consumption or withdrawn from warehouse for consumption” on or after August 7, 2025.

Updated September 4, 2025:

Last night, President Trump asked the Supreme Court for an “expedited ruling” on overturning last Friday’s federal appeals court decision, which found President Trump’s IEEPA tariffs illegal.

What happens if the Supreme Court upholds the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit’s ruling?

  • U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) would halt all collection of IEEPA tariffs.
  • Many businesses would potentially qualify for refunds: some duties would be proactively refunded by CBP, while others would require importers to file post summary corrections and protests.
    • Should the Supreme Court take a long time to reach a ruling—i.e., next June or beyond—the window for post summary corrections and protests may begin closing on early entry filings.
    • Importers can file protests on liquidated entries. Given pending litigation, the protests would remain in “open” status.
    • Protests not filed in a timely manner may be denied automatically.

For specific guidance on your situation, reach out to your account manager or our trade advisory team.

Updated August 29, 2025:

This afternoon, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit ruled President Trump’s IEEPA tariffs illegal, upholding the Court of International Trade (CIT)’s initial ruling in May. Today’s ruling does not issue an injunction on the tariffs, meaning duties will continue to be collected until October 14. Duties affected by this ruling include the IEEPA fentanyl tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, as well as the IEEPA reciprocal tariffs placed on the rest of the world.

President Trump indicated on Truth Social that the ruling will be appealed to the Supreme Court. Today’s decision does not impact President Trump’s non-IEEPA tariffs, such as steel and aluminum tariffs.

Updated August 17, 2025:

On August 14, 2025, the Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) published a notice expanding the scope of Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum. The update adds 407 Harmonized Tariff Schedule (HTS) codes to the list of covered “derivative” products, meaning additional duties will now apply based on the steel or aluminum content of those goods.

The new duties will take effect at 12:01 a.m. ET on August 18, 2025, applying to goods entered for consumption, or withdrawn from warehouse for consumption, on or after that date. Importantly, the tariffs will be assessed only on the value of the steel or aluminum content within the covered products, while any non-steel or non-aluminum components will remain subject to reciprocal or other applicable tariffs.

Key product categories impacted:

Consumer Packaged Goods

  • Aluminum packaging—everything from condensed milk and shampoo to deodorants and disinfectants in aluminum containers is covered.
  • This builds on earlier inclusions like beer.

Household and Industrial Products

  • Tools, knives, blades, and cutlery
  • Furniture: seats, office furniture, metal shelving
  • Air conditioners, filters, pumps, gear boxes

Heavy Industry and Transport

  • Bulldozers, cranes, industrial robots
  • Rail cars, rolling stock, locomotive
  • Heavy semi-trucks and buses

Chemicals & Coatings

  • Cleaning products, soaps, surface-active agents, lubricants
  • Paints, varnishes, mastics, caulking compounds
  • Adhesives and glues
  • Disinfectants and sanitizers

Energy & Infrastructure

  • Nuclear reactor parts
  • Wind turbine towers, blades, and hubs
  • Transformers, generators, extension cords

Special Callouts:

  • Overlap with automotive tariffs: Some products also fall under the Section 232 automotive category. As of today, automotive duties are assessed at 25% on the full value of the good, whereas steel/aluminum duties apply only to the metal content, but at higher rates. Importers will need to carefully evaluate classification to avoid overpaying.
  • Dual-flagged products: Of the new additions, 124 codes are flagged as both aluminum and steel derivatives. Importers must now declare which material is present, even if the product contains only one. This will increase complexity in supplier data collection and customs documentation.
  • More detail required: For many brands, this means chasing suppliers for detailed data: aluminum weight, percentage of customs value, and country of cast/smelt. The compliance burden is significant.

The Impact:

The expansion is sweeping: BIS estimates that the 673 steel derivatives and 188 aluminum derivatives represent about 3.5% of all HTSUS codes. Many of these items are everyday consumer or industrial products, not just raw materials.

For companies, the implications are two-fold:

  1. Higher landed costs: Duties on steel/aluminum content add a new layer of expense to products that previously may have escaped Section 232. To see how these changes could affect your landed costs, try the Flexport Tariff Simulator and get a clearer picture of your potential duty exposure.
  2. Operational complexity: Gathering and reporting the required steel/aluminum data from global suppliers will slow down workflows and complicate compliance.

What’s Next:

  • Effective August 18, 2025, importers must ensure compliance on all newly listed HTSUS codes.
  • Companies in FMCG, automotive, heavy industry, and consumer goods should immediately audit product lines for exposure.
  • Expect additional scrutiny from CBP on country of smelt/cast declarations for aluminum, following recent enforcement patterns.
  • The next round for 232 inclusion requests opens in September, so expect this to continue to expand.

Updated August 11, 2025:

This afternoon, President Trump signed an executive order that will extend the existing tariff agreement between the U.S. and China for another 90 days. Until November 10, 2025, the U.S. will continue to impose a 30% tariff on Chinese goods, while China will continue to levy a 10% tariff on U.S. goods.

The existing agreement, which went into effect on May 14, was initially due to expire tomorrow (August 12). Today’s order comes approximately two weeks after the latest round of U.S.-China trade negotiations, and will prevent duties on Chinese goods from surging back to 145%—at least until November.

Updated August 6, 2025:

President Trump published an executive order today that will impose an additional 25% blanket tariff on India, just days after imposing a 25% reciprocal tariff scheduled for August 1. The second 25% tariff—which the executive order attributes to India’s “direct or indirect imports of Russian oil” into the United States—will take effect on August 27, 2025.

Exemptions from the additional (oil-related) 25% tariff: Goods that are loaded onto a vessel and in transit on their final mode of transport before August 27, 2025, and “entered for consumption, or withdrawn from warehouse for consumption” before September 17, 2025.

Depending on shipment departure and arrival dates (detailed in the table below), some Indian-origin imports will face an effective duty rate of 50%.

IEEPA duties applicable to Indian-origin goods:

Departure Date Arrival Date Reciprocal Tariff Oil-Related Tariff
Before August 7 Before September 17 10% 0%
Before August 7 September 17 - October 4 10% 25%
Before August 7 On or after October 5 25% 25%
August 7 - August 26 Before September 17 25% 0%
August 7 - August 26 On or after September 17 25% 25%
On or after August 27 -- 25% 25%

Updated August 5, 2025:

Yesterday, the EU announced that it plans to delay its countermeasures against U.S. tariffs for six months. These countermeasures, which included tariffs of up to 30% on a range of U.S. goods, were originally set to be implemented on August 7, 2025.

The announcement comes just over a week after the U.S. and the EU announced a preliminary trade agreement, under which most EU goods would face a 15% tariff.

Separately, President Trump indicated today that he may announce tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals as soon as next week. The U.S. Department of Commerce commenced its Section 232 investigation into semiconductors in April, and is expected to release results early this month.

As for pharmaceuticals, President Trump told CNBC that tariffs will be “initially small,” but “in one year—one and a half years, maximum—it’s going to go to 150%, and then it’s going to go to 250%.”

Finally, in an August 4 Truth Social post, President Trump stated he intends to “substantially [raise] the tariff paid by India to the U.S.,” given India’s ongoing purchases of “massive amounts of Russian oil.” Per last week’s executive order, India is currently set to face a 25% reciprocal tariff on August 7.

Updated August 1, 2025:

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Last night, on July 31, President Trump published an executive order modifying tariffs on Canada:

  • The tariff rate on Canadian imports to the U.S. has increased from 25% to 35%, effective August 1 at 12:01 a.m. ET.
  • Exemptions for goods compliant with the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) remain unchanged.
  • The current tariff stacking order also remains unchanged.
  • Goods determined to have been transshipped to evade duties will be subject to a tariff rate of 40% in lieu of the 35%, along with applicable fines or penalties.

President Trump also published an executive order last night detailing modified reciprocal tariff rates for nearly 70 trade partners, set to take effect on August 7 at 12:01 a.m. ET.

  • Any nation not listed in the executive order will be subject to a 10% baseline reciprocal tariff (with the exception of China and Canada).
  • Goods determined to have been transshipped to evade duties will be subject to a 40% tariff.
  • To qualify for the reciprocal in-transit exception, goods must be loaded onto a vessel at the port of loading and in transit on their final mode of transportation before August 7 at 12:01 a.m. ET, and arrive before October 5 at 12:01 a.m. ET.
  • EU goods: Imports with an HTSUS Column 1 duty rate of 15% or higher will face a 0% tariff. Meanwhile, imports with a Column 1 duty rate of less than 15% will face a tariff determined as follows: 15% minus the Column 1 duty rate.

Per the order, upcoming reciprocal tariff rates are as follows:

Trade Partner Adjusted Reciprocal Tariff
Afghanistan 15%
Algeria 30%
Angola 15%
Bangladesh 20%
Bolivia 15%
Bosnia 30%
Botswana 15%
Brazil 10%
Brunei 25%
Cambodia 19%
Cameroon 15%
Chad 15%
Costa Rica 15%
Côte d'Ivoire 15%
Democratic Republic of the Congo 15%
Ecuador 15%
Equatorial Guinea 15%
EU: Goods with ≥ 15% Column 1 duty rate 0%
EU: Goods with < 15% Column 1 duty rate 15% minus Column 1 duty rate
Falkland Islands 10%
Fiji 15%
Ghana 15%
Guyana 15%
Iceland 15%
India 25%
Indonesia 19%
Iraq 35%
Israel 15%
Japan 15%
Jordan 15%
Kazakhstan 25%
Laos 40%
Lesotho 15%
Libya 30%
Liechtenstein 15%
Madagascar 15%
Malawi 15%
Malaysia 19%
Mauritius 15%
Moldova 25%
Mozambique 15%
Myanmar 40%
Namibia 15%
Nauru 15%
New Zealand 15%
Nicaragua 18%
Nigeria 15%
North Macedonia 15%
Norway 15%
Pakistan 19%
Papua New Guinea 15%
Philippines 19%
Serbia 35%
South Africa 30%
South Korea 15%
Sri Lanka 20%
Switzerland 39%
Syria 41%
Taiwan 20%
Thailand 19%
Trinidad and Tobago 15%
Tunisia 25%
Turkey 15%
Uganda 15%
United Kingdom 10%
Vanuatu 15%
Venezuela 15%
Vietnam 20%
Zambia 15%
Zimbabwe 15%

Updated July 30, 2025:

Today, President Trump signed an executive order that will suspend the de minimis exemption for low-value shipments (i.e., valued at or under $800) beginning August 29, 2025, for all countries of origin.

  • For low-value goods shipped via the international postal system: For the first six months following the August 29 implementation date, these goods will face a duty ranging from $80 to $200 per item, depending on the IEEPA tariff rate that applies to the product’s country of origin. After six months, all low-value shipments will be subject to the ad valorem IEEPA tariff applicable to the product’s country of origin, without any minimum or maximum duty per item.
  • For low-value goods shipped through means other than the international postal system: These goods will be subject to all applicable duties.
  • American travelers will still be able to bring up to $200 in personal items back to the U.S. duty-free, and Americans can continue to receive up to $100 in bona fide gifts duty-free.

The U.S. previously ended de minimis treatment for Chinese-origin goods on May 2, 2025. Additionally, earlier this month, President Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), which will permanently repeal the statutory basis for the de minimis exemption on July 1, 2027. Today’s executive order will suspend de minimis treatment “more quickly than the OBBBA requires … to save American lives and businesses now.”

President Trump also signed an executive order today that will increase tariffs on Brazilian imports by 40%, bringing the total effective duty rate on Brazil to 50%.

  • The new tariff rate will take effect seven days from today—i.e., on August 6, 2025.
  • Goods loaded onto a vessel and in transit on their final mode of transit before August 6 and “entered for consumption, or withdrawn from warehouse for consumption” before October 5, 2025, will be exempted from the new duty rate. These goods will remain subject to the current 10% tariff rate.

Additionally, President Trump also signed a proclamation today on new copper tariffs, which he had originally announced on July 9.

  • Effective August 1, semi-finished copper products and copper-intensive derivative products will face a 50% Section 232 tariff.
  • The copper tariff will apply to products’ copper content, while non-copper content will remain subject to reciprocal tariffs or other applicable duties. These tariffs will not stack.
  • Section 232 auto tariffs and copper tariffs will not stack. Products subject to auto tariffs will be exempt from copper tariffs.

President Trump also announced on Truth Social today that the U.S. will impose a 25% tariff on India, effective August 1. India will also face an unspecified penalty for buying military equipment and energy products from Russia.

Finally, the latest round of U.S.-China trade negotiations concluded on July 29—just two weeks before the nations’ August 12 deadline for finalizing a trade deal. U.S. and Chinese officials have agreed to push for an extension of the temporary 90-day agreement that took effect in May, though U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated that the final decision would lie with President Trump.

Updated July 28, 2025:

Yesterday (July 27), the U.S. and the EU reached a preliminary trade agreement. Terms are as follows:

  • The U.S. will impose a 15% tariff on EU imports, including pharmaceuticals, automobiles, and semiconductors.
  • The EU will purchase $750 billion in U.S. energy products and invest an additional $600 billion in the U.S., all by 2028.
  • The EU will work with the U.S. to eliminate various tariffs, and will establish quotas for certain products.
  • The EU will work with the U.S. to address certain non-tariff barriers, including those related to digital trade and U.S. agricultural exports. In particular, the EU will not implement or maintain any network usage fees, and will streamline requirements for sanitary certificates for U.S. pork and dairy products.
  • The EU will eliminate “red tape” and “burdensome” requirements that U.S. exporters face when conducting business in the EU.
  • The EU will purchase significant amounts of U.S. military equipment.
  • As of now, the EU will continue to face 50% sectoral tariffs on steel, aluminum, and copper.

It remains unclear when this agreement will take effect. Additionally, the deal has not yet been finalized, and may be subject to change.

Separately, the U.S. is expected to announce the results of a Section 232 investigation into semiconductors in about two weeks—meaning chip imports could potentially face new levies.

Finally, U.S.-China trade talks will resume today—just over two weeks ahead of August 12, the deadline for the two nations to finalize a trade agreement. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated last week that “we’ll be working out what is likely an extension,” referring to the temporary 90-day agreement that took effect in May.

Updated July 23, 2025:

Yesterday, President Trump announced on Truth Social that the U.S. and Japan had reached a trade deal. Per the agreement, Japan will face a 15% reciprocal tariff; invest $550 billion into the United States, which will receive 90% of profits; and “open their country to trade, including cars and trucks, rice, and certain other agricultural products.”

Japan is the U.S.’s fifth-largest trade partner, with the U.S. importing $148.2 billion in Japanese goods in 2024 alone. More than a third of those imports consisted of automobiles and auto parts, according to the International Trade Administration.

Updated July 16, 2025:

On July 7, President Trump began publishing his first batch of tariff letters laying out trade agreement terms with select nations. These include proposed reciprocal tariff rates—all expected to take effect on August 1, 2025, pending official confirmation via executive order or Federal Register notice.

Duties proposed so far include:

Nation Proposed Reciprocal Tariff
Japan 15%
Indonesia 19%
Philippines 19%
Vietnam 20%
Brunei 25%
India 25%
Kazakhstan 25%
Malaysia 25%
Moldova 25%
South Korea 25%
Tunisia 25%
Algeria 30%
Bosnia 30%
European Union 15%
Iraq 30%
Libya 30%
Mexico 30%
South Africa 30%
Sri Lanka 30%
Bangladesh 35%
Canada 35%
Serbia 35%
Cambodia 36%
Thailand 36%
Laos 40%
Myanmar 40%
Brazil 50%

Per the letters, if any of the aforementioned nations raises tariffs on the U.S., then the U.S. will increase its reciprocal tariff on that nation by an identical amount. Additionally, any goods that are transshipped to evade a higher tariff will be subject to that higher tariff.

The original end date for the Trump administration’s 90-day country-specific reciprocal tariff pause was July 9, 2025. Per President Trump’s executive order published July 7, that end date has been postponed to August 1, 2025.

Separately, President Trump announced on July 9 that a 50% tariff on copper imports will take effect on August 1, now that the Commerce Department’s national security investigation into copper has concluded.

President Trump stated that he also plans to impose pharmaceutical tariffs as high as 200%—but will first “give people about a year, a year and a half, to [bring manufacturing operations to the U.S.].”

Finally, on July 6, President Trump announced on Truth Social that he intends to levy an additional 10% tariff on “any country participating in the anti-American policies of BRICS,” with “no exceptions to this policy.”

Prior to President Trump’s announcement, BRICS—an intergovernmental group that includes Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Iran, and the UAE—released a statement expressing “serious concerns” about unilateral tariffs that “are inconsistent with WTO rules.” BRICS’ statement did not explicitly mention the Trump administration or the United States.

Updated July 7, 2025:

Today, the White House published an executive order postponing the end date for the country-specific reciprocal tariff pause to August 1, 2025. Until then, reciprocal tariffs will remain at their current rates.

Updated July 4, 2025:

The Big Beautiful Bill: A New Chapter in Global Trade

The "Big Beautiful Bill,” represents a significant shift in international trade policy. This legislation aims to rebalance global trade relationships through a combination of targeted tariffs, enhanced supply chain security provisions, and investment in domestic manufacturing capabilities. The bill seeks to address economic concerns through a two-pronged approach: reforming business taxation to incentivize domestic job creation while implementing stronger immigration enforcement measures. For global markets, this signals a move away from unrestricted free trade toward a more managed approach that prioritizes national economic interests and supply chain resilience. While supporters argue it will revitalize domestic industries and create jobs, critics warn that the bill could stifle economic growth by increasing costs for businesses through stricter compliance requirements while potentially exacerbating labor shortages in key industries that rely on immigrant workers. As implementation begins, businesses worldwide are reassessing their international strategies to navigate this evolving trade landscape.

With the passing of the Big Beautiful Bill, many ‘Big’ changes have been made but let’s discuss one in particular…

SEC. 70531 - End of De Minimis

This portion of the bill clarifies that this is for commercial de minimis only. SEC. 70531 of the bill creates a new penalty that is effective in 30 days from enactment. If an importer tries to claim de minimis where they are not otherwise allowed to then a new penalty will be introduced: $5,000 for the first violation and up to $10,000 for each subsequent violation.

Lastly, the Big Beautiful Bill will end De Minimis for all countries on July 1st, 2027 (however, China is still banned from De Minimis today).

Updated July 2, 2025:

President Trump announced on Truth Social a trade agreement between the U.S and the Socialist Republic of Vietnam. Following discussions with To Lam, General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam, the agreement establishes new tariff structures aimed at strengthening economic relations.

The U.S. will apply a 20% tariff on all goods of Vietnamese origin, and a 40% tariff on transshipping activities. As part of the agreement, the U.S. is granted full access to the Vietnamese market, allowing American products to enter Vietnam without any tariffs.

This agreement could significantly impact the export of SUVs and large engine vehicles from the U.S. into Vietnam, expanding the product range available in the Vietnamese market.

A formal announcement, including clarification around the transshipping activities, is still pending.

Updated June 27, 2025:

President Trump stated yesterday that the U.S. had “just signed [a deal] with China,” though it appears that the agreement is unrelated to tariffs. Since then, White House officials have indicated that the deal involves streamlining American access to Chinese rare earth minerals—an essential component of semiconductor manufacturing.

Increasing U.S. access to Chinese rare earth shipments comprised part of the proposed U.S.-China trade agreement President Trump announced earlier this month. However, that agreement—which also includes a 55% tariff rate on China—has yet to be approved by President Trump and President Xi.

Separately, President Trump announced on Truth Social today that the U.S. is “terminating all discussions on trade with Canada, effective immediately,” in light of Canada’s digital services tax on American technology companies. The Trump administration will “let Canada know the tariff that they will be paying to do business with the United States within the next seven-day period,” he added.

The current effective tariff rate on Canada is 25%, excluding energy products (10%) and goods that fall under the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) (0%).

Updated June 17, 2025:

Yesterday (June 16), the White House published an executive order that will implement some aspects of the U.S.-U.K. trade agreement announced on May 8. The executive order, which will take effect seven days after publication in the Federal Register, will:

  • Maintain a 10% baseline IEEPA reciprocal tariff on U.K. imports
  • Reduce Section 232 tariffs on U.K. auto parts from 25% to 10%
  • Reduce the effective Section 232 duty rate on U.K. automobiles from 27.5% to 10%, applicable to an annual quota of 100,000 vehicles
  • Eliminate IEEPA reciprocal tariffs and Section 232 steel and aluminum tariffs on U.K. products that fall under the World Trade Organization Agreement on Trade in Civil Aircraft

Additionally, the order states that the U.S. may implement a quota of U.K. steel and aluminum imports that will be subject to most-favored-nation rates, contingent upon the U.K. meeting “American requirements on the security of steel and aluminum supply chains, and on the nature of ownership of relevant production facilities.” Currently, the U.K. is subject to a 25% duty on steel and aluminum, having avoided the 50% tariff rate imposed on all other U.S. trade partners earlier this month.

Per the order, the U.K. is also likely to receive “significantly preferential treatment” when it comes to potential upcoming Section 232 tariffs on pharmaceuticals, as long as the U.K. “complies with certain supply chain security standards.”

Separately, on June 13, CBP released updated guidance on reporting the country of smelt and cast for derivative aluminum products subject to Section 232 duties. Beginning June 28, aluminum imports with an unknown or indeterminable country of smelt and cast will be subject to a 200% Section 232 tariff—the same duty assessed on Russian-origin aluminum imports.

Finally, on June 12, the U.S. Department of Commerce added washing machines, refrigerators, and other steel consumer appliances to its list of derivative products subject to Section 232 tariffs. Effective June 23, the 50% duty rate will apply to the value of steel content in each product.

Updated June 12, 2025:

Yesterday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated it is “highly likely” that the 90-day country-specific reciprocal tariff pause, which is currently set to end on July 9, 2025, will be extended for “18 important trading partners” involved in “good faith” trade negotiations. President Trump’s proposed 50% tariff on the EU, currently postponed until July 9, 2025, is also likely to be pushed back further.

Updated June 11, 2025:

Following two days of negotiations between U.S. and Chinese trade representatives in London, President Trump announced on Truth Social today that the “deal with China is done, subject to final approval [from himself and] President Xi.” Details of the agreement include:

  • A 55% total tariff rate on Chinese goods imported into the U.S. (comprised of a 10% baseline IEEPA reciprocal tariff, a 20% IEEPA “fentanyl” tariff, and a 25% tariff that includes levies imposed during the president’s first term)
  • A 10% total tariff rate on U.S. goods imported into China
  • A streamlined process for importing Chinese rare earth shipments into the U.S.
  • Resumed access to U.S. colleges and universities for Chinese nationals

Exactly how and when the deal will be implemented—pending President Trump’s and President Xi’s final approval—is currently unclear.

Separately, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit issued a longer-term stay last night that will continue freezing the Court of International Trade (CIT)’s May 28 ruling that invalidated President Trump’s IEEPA tariffs. Last night’s longer-term stay follows the temporary stay issued by the appeals court on May 29, and will keep President Trump’s IEEPA tariffs in place while litigation continues. Both parties will prepare for oral arguments, which will be heard by the appeals court on July 31, 2025.

Updated June 3, 2025:

On June 3, the White House released a proclamation titled “Adjusting Imports of Aluminum and Steel Into the United States,” announcing a significant increase in tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. Effective for covered goods entered for consumption, or withdrawn from warehouse for consumption, on and after 12:01am EDT on June 4, 2025, tariffs on these materials and their derivatives will rise from 25% to 50%.

The decision follows updated findings from the Department of Commerce, which indicate that ongoing low-cost dumping by foreign producers continues to threaten the viability of the U.S. steel and aluminum industries, sectors critical to national defense.

Key highlights of the proclamation include:

  • Tariff Increase: The duty rate on steel and aluminum imports, and their derivatives, will double to 50%.
  • U.K. Exception: Imports from the United Kingdom will remain at the 25% rate, aligned with the recent U.S.-UK Economic Prosperity Deal (EPD). However, rates may rise after July 9th, if the U.K. fails to meet EPD conditions.
  • Reciprocal tariffs will now apply to non-steel and non-aluminum content.
  • Compliance Enforcement: CBP will issue authoritative guidance mandating strict compliance and outlining maximum penalties for noncompliance.
  • Stacking order of 232 steel/aluminum for products of Canada or Mexico has been revised. 232 will now apply instead of the IEEPA tariff.

The administration states that it views this action as essential for achieving sustained capacity utilization in domestic industries, thus reducing reliance on foreign suppliers during national emergencies or defense build-up needs.

In tandem with the proclamation, U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) has issued updated guidance through CSMS #65236574 to clarify how these increased tariffs interact with other existing trade measures under Executive Order 14289.

As enforcement ramps up, importers should consult trade counsel or compliance professionals to ensure filings align with the updated priority structure and avoid costly errors.

Updated June 2, 2025:

On Friday, May 30, President Trump stated that he plans to increase tariffs on steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%, effective Wednesday, June 4. A formal announcement, including clarification around the implementation process for in-transit shipments, is still pending.

It is currently unclear how this announcement will impact tariffs on steel and aluminum from the U.K. The recent U.S.-U.K. trade deal, negotiated last month, brought tariffs on U.K. steel and aluminum down to 0%.

Calculate and analyze tariff impacts in real time with the new Flexport Tariff Simulator. Get started here.

Updated May 30, 2025:

U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) has updated its guidance regarding in-transit exceptions for the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) reciprocal tariffs. Originally, shipments had to be loaded and in-transit to the U.S. prior to April 5, 9, or 10, 2025 (depending on the applicable tariff), and entered into the U.S. prior to May 28, 2025, to qualify for the in-transit exemption.

As of today, CBP has revised that position: it is now generally not realistic for shipments to qualify for the in-transit exceptions unless entry is made prior to June 16, 2025.
This extension offers additional flexibility for importers navigating the evolving tariff landscape, but underscores the importance of confirming entry dates and shipment status with your customs broker or freight forwarder.

About the Author

Flexport Editorial Team
Flexport Editorial Team

September 30, 2025

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